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Coffee’s connection to local TV news

Posted by Cory Bergman on December 26, 2008

No, I’m not referring to the obvious connection, especially for folks who work the overnight shifts. I’m reading a book (that has yet to be released) called “Wired to Care” by Dev Patnaik, and it has a fascinating story about the coffee business with some surprising parallels to local TV news, young people and declining ratings (especially in light of the story below).

Back in the late 1950s and early 60s, Maxwell House began slowly substituting tasty but expensive “Arabica” beans with bitter but inexpensive “Robusta” beans in its coffee, Patnaik writes. After all, customers were complaining about the increasingly high prices. Maxwell House made the transition slowly, conducting consumer research along the way, and the vast majority of its coffee drinkers were unable to detect the difference. This kept prices under control, customers happy, and the business continued to run at a respectable profit. Other coffee makers did the same.

By 1964, coffee sales declined for the first time in the history of the U.S. Younger people weren’t becoming coffee drinkers. Why? To a first-time coffee drinker, it tasted horrible. Coke and Pepsi sales began to skyrocket. Coffee continued its decline. Then a man named Howard Schultz took note of the espresso bars in Italy and launched a little company called “Starbucks,” bringing back Arabica beans with a new way of doing business. Young people began to drink coffee again. The industry had been reinvented.

You can roughly equate “taste” in the sense of coffee to “relevancy” for local TV news. With the demand to produce more and more daily newscasts — while keeping costs under control and fighting new competitors — local TV has become more breathless and plastic and less substantive and real. Consultants helped pave the way to commoditization with “best practices” culled from other markets, which are really just the same old ways of doing things. Local TV news slowly switched to Robusta beans, losing its relevancy, and just like the coffee companies of old, existing viewers don’t really detect much of a difference. But younger viewers — ages 18-34 — are watching less and less, or not starting to watch at all. It doesn’t speak to them anymore. It’s not relevant.

You might argue this decline is due entirely to the internet. But TV stations have websites, too. And that lack of on-air relevancy is translated online, where they’re reflections of their on-air editorial product, handcuffed by old thinking and cost structures. You’ll often hear local TV execs talk about on-air’s tremendous reach — that even with declining ratings, it’s still a terrific vehicle to reach large audiences. Yes, that’s true, but that reach isn’t translating online. And that’s a very big problem.

So what’s the “Starbucks” model of local TV news? Good question. It stands to reason it will be delivered in a non-linear form with vibrant community participation. It will be relevant again, switching back to Arabica beans with an entirely new business model and value proposition. And like Starbucks, it may sound preposterous to begin with.

  • http://jeremiahjacobs.com Jeremiah

    Will it also come from Italy? I’d like my local news with that trademark “schwooooooooocshhhhhhhhheeeeeeeeeeeeeeesshshshshsshhh” that accompanies good espresso…..?

  • Dan

    So right Cory. But the problem today is, who’s going to stick their neck out to do it? There are no more Bullitt sisters running stations anymore. The TV business runs on the philosophy of follow, don’t lead. So who starts this up?

    Also, I think existing older viewers ARE noticing the change to robusta beans too, if my own experience means anything. Except for this week’s storm coverage here in Seattle, I hardly watch local anymore. Brian and Katie yes, local no. But I go to the WSB all day long.

  • discreet_chaos

    While the aggregators might be the “Arabica” beans, I think the concern over news as a business is rooted in flawed data. Sure, as more and more outlets have become part of a publicly-traded consortium and their value has become subject to the whims of the stock market, it might look like a problem, but I think it’s just another step in the evolution of the business.

    If I might cite as an example, my own youth in the Triangle area of North Carolina. When I was a kid, there were two local newscasts: the Raleigh station and the one from Durham. If you lived in the Raleigh area, you watched WRAL and if you lived closer to Durham, you watched WTVD.

    Then in the 70s(?), the NBC affiliate was sold and they added a low budget newscast. Sometime fairly recently, WRAL started rebranding a newscast for the Fox affiliate and last I heard, they also offered local news on cable.

    Now, there may be more outlets in that particular area, but without counting WRAL’s cable venture, the number of local news outlets have at least doubled and then when you add on all of the cable channels (CNN, CNBC, Fox, MSNBC, TWC and if it’s still operating, the local cable outlet), you have a lot of places vying for a relatively fixed number of viewers.

    The same can be said for the newspaper business; 40 years ago, there was the Raleigh paper and one out of Durham. Sometime in the 80s, the Greensboro, Winston-Salem and Charlotte papers started making in-roads from the west and there were other papers creeping-up from the east, plus we suddenly had access to newspaper boxes selling the WaPo, the NYTimes, the WSJ, the Atlanta and Richmond papers, along with the USA Today.

    Now we have the internet and though I’m currently living 3000 miles from the Triangle, I’m able to read all or watch all of their local outlets, plus I’m a daily reader of all of the national outlets and I also read a lot of other “local” outlets depending on where the news is originating that particular day.

    I haven’t been able to find any statistics to back me up, but I firmly believe that as a percentage of the population, the number of news consumers have remained relatively fixed. There’s never been a time when everyone watched or read news and young people have never been a large percentage of the audience. Of course there are exceptions, but by and large, it isn’t until a person gets into their mid-30s that their taste for news increases.

    In my mind, the “problem” is that there’s so many sources which didn’t exist just a few years ago, so readership/viewership of any single outlet has naturally decreased. This of course have cut into profits because though the number of potential advertisers has also risen, there’s more places for them to make their buys and because the business is competitive, the advertising rates have been hamstrung in an attempt to increase.

    We may be facing a shaking-out due to the proliferation of newscasts and because so many rushed to merge or go public in recent years, they may be forced to take another investor-pleasing tact. But again, I actually believe that as a percentage of the population, the number of news consumers just hasn’t changed all that much, they’re just spread out over what seems like a never-ending number of outlets.

  • greg

    You grossly glazed over coffee’s recovery, btw.

    The coffee industry realized they had desperately cost-cut themselves into a corner, treating coffee like an indistinguishable commodity sold at the lowest-common denominator. And while the industry recognized coffee’s next generation of potential consumers was off drinking soft drinks, the consumer rise of Starbucks was still a couple decades away.

    Coffee marketers first tried to make coffee appeal to soft drink consumers, and they came up with all the “flavored coffee” fads of the 1970s and 1980s: French vanilla, mocha creme, hazelnut whatever, etc., etc. But it was essentially putting lipstick on a pig. Take lowest grade coffee, spray some flavoring on it, and expect a teenager to give up his Cherry Coke. Yeah, right.

    Better coffee would come with the popular rise of Starbucks. But ironically, what really saved the industry was that the killer flavoring for coffee did not turn out to be all the garbage that General Foods International Coffees was pushing on consumers. No, the killer flavoring was milk in the form of lattes and cappuccinos. And Starbucks made a multi-billion-dollar business out of making people who didn’t like coffee suddenly think they did — even if all they liked was milk, syrup flavorings, and all the other higher margin items on the Starbucks menu.

    The parallels for local TV news? Well, for one, the first serious things the industry will do to change things will fail. For another, local TV news needs to appeal to viewers who don’t like local TV news, but they need to convince them that they do.

    Now infotainment has been around for decades now, and local TV news have certainly been leading with the bleeding and pumping enough animal stories to keep the actual news content at a minimum. But I think the major realization to me came about 7 years ago when I realized I got more actual news, and even more entertainment, out of watching the Daily Show on Comedy Central than I did from the local TV news.

    That’s what local TV news is up against. The journalism purists will cry foul, but let’s face facts: local TV news has not been a public service for generations.

  • Rick R.

    Local TV news has become worse than bad coffee. It’s nothing but crime, weather hype and car wrecks. Ten years ago there were about 7 minutes of commercials/promos in a half hour newscast. Today it’s more like 12, and most are awful, screaming local car dealers. I don’t know how anyone can watch this mess.

  • W

    I find it somewhat funny that Rick R.’s lament about local news is exactly what drove the WSB (see two posts ago, about the storm) to record numbers… weather and car accidents.

  • Safran

    None of which explains why American tea is so awful while English tea tastes so much better.

  • snark

    Uh… you mean WSB isn’t a station out of Atlanta?

  • discreet_chaos

    BTW: I’m revisiting this thread in an attempt to make my long diatribe more relevant to Cory’s post; Earlier this year, Starbucks announced that they were closing 600 underperforming stores. I doubt there’s 600 television stations doing newscasts, but we’ve recently seen discussions of possible cutbacks, so just like in coffee, the answer to oversaturation in television might be the same.

  • Rick R.

    Discreet_caos – There are approximately 650 television statioins doing local newscasts – and the majority are dreadful. It would be a blessing if half just went away.

  • Dan

    When Seattle got hit with pretty bad snow and ice starting Dec 18, I started watching local TV almost all day. The stations, most anyway, pre-empted regular network and daytime programming to do live coverage that had the potential to help people know what was available if they needed help etc. In addition, I went to the westseattleblog (WSB) constantly, because I live over here. It helped me get around the area better and know what was open.

    What if KOMO or KING was doing the same thing as the WSB by having neighborhood sections in their web operations? The big picture on your air, the closer-up coverage on the web.

    TV news is not interactive. Duh. You have to sit through the whole thing. So when coverage of one story, war or weather or something that affects everyone, it’s great. But otherwise, local TV news has become not relevant to me because there is too much in there I have to sit through I don’t want to see.

    How about this idea; for the 5 and 6pm show, just do one story per day. Nail it. Cover it from every angle. Not just a breaking story but something you’ve been working on for weeks or months. Use your broadcasting channel as a flagpole for your news operation and your web operation is where you have complete coverage and all the stories. Your on-air show is a showcase of your journalism. If it only breaks even, that’s ok because the real money is made on your web operation. It becomes what the local paper used to be in your town.

  • Dan

    Where is the iPhone app for my local station’s news operation? Why can’t I see your stories on my iPhone on your app, not buried on someone else’s app. Why didn’t the Seattle Times create an app where I could see Their restaurant reviews that they’d built up a great reputation for over the years? Why did they let Yelp and others take that away from them?
    Go grab some programmer students, give them some cash and say build it. The first version will suck but you’ll learn as you go. Customers will let you know what they like and don’t like.
    You go from there.

  • http://westseattleblog.com Tracy @ WSB (not the Atlanta TV station)

    Actually car crashes aren’t the big traffic driver outside of continuous weather info such as what we’ve been through the past two weeks. Crime is. But on a local, actionable level – not voyeuristic crime coverage like “listen to the 911 tapes from the Santa shooter rampage in LA,” but relevant, practical crime coverage such as “car prowlers have hit the 5300 block of Whateverth Street twice in the past week” that might cause folks to look out their windows a couple extra times in the dead of night, or be quicker to call police on an alarm, or a suspicious-person sighting.

    That aside, I’m interested in discussing the main topic of this post, with the TV-news business in my rear-view mirror. Before moving to management in 1994, I specialized for years in producing 11 pm newscasts – what a great chance to mix the best stuff of the day with a few stories that were truly happening at night, or looking ahead to something big the next day. I saw the crime-and-slime trend – which WAS crime from the voyeuristic point of view – coming down the pike, and for one blissful summer, tried to overtly ignore it by purposely leading with non-crime stories. It was the year that then-First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton was working on health-care reform – so, per Google, 1993. I remember being so proud of leading with stories on local forums, national testimony, etc. Well … until the numbers fell like the proverbial rock. A really heavy rock falling a really long way. Our competitors had generally by then already gone over into “action news.”

    Sure, there could have been a million other things to blame for the slide, beyond saying “you’ve got boring leads.” Maybe I was doing a lousy job. Maybe the reporters we were using weren’t presenting the stories compellingly. Etc. etc. etc. But in the context of this LR post, it seemed worth noting the turning point right about then.

    When I moved to Seattle in ’91 to take the 11 pm job at KOMO, I remember a lot of talk about how Seattle wasn’t like other markets … it was still possible to do “real news” … and things were so slow you had to enterprise. That definitely fell away, and by my latter years in TV news, I was presiding (as an EP and AND) over the same sort of glop as everybody else. We were all fighting for short-term gains (grabbiest lead of the night) and ignoring the long-term results… audience numbness and perceived irrelevance.

    Hindsight is 20/20, as they say. However, I don’t know if anything could have stopped what’s going on now – which I think is more the fact that the linear TV-newscast-style delivery is just being rendered as mostly obsolete as the newspaper-style news delivery. ****Except when there’s truly something LIVE to present**** – like this week’s weather coverage. Our commenters were definitely watching TV as well as participating in our online coverage – there would be discussions of which station was on which West Seattle street and what conditions were seen in their reports. However, since the stations were trying to serve their regional audience, it was impractical for them to be very specific (I still, though, would like to hear someone say “We’re at 49th and Alaska in West Seattle” or “We’re at X and X in Bellevue” even knowing those five seconds wouldn’t matter much to the 95% of viewers outside that area.) OK, ramble over.

  • Dan

    Terry, it’s great to hear you tried to do something different for awhile at KOMO. At least you tried it. That’s more than most can say.

    It’s just a hop, skip and a jump Terry, until you have live feeds on your site. We can do it now but it’s kinda tricky, cause you gotta use 3G speeds of cell towers etc. But it’s doable. Soon an even smaller interface will happen and you’ll have your own reporter or a contributor you like, doing it from 49th and Alaska, just for us West Seattle people. It won’t be HD yet, but for SD it works right now. But the tech isn’t the point.

    The point is what you are doing with the WSB, very local, is obviously one of the ways customers want to consume their news going forward. Viewers setting through stories on the local station that have no relevance to them as well as 15 minutes of spots and teases per half hour just isn’t going to work when people have a choice.

    Broadcasters are still thinking like they have a
    monopoly on local. Of course it just isn’t the case anymore. They need to see their signal as not the end, but the beginning of the process of selling and marketing their product and connecting with customers, (viewers).

  • Dan

    Oops, I meant Tracy above. (edit)

  • discreet_chaos

    I’m all in favor of hyper-local blogs as news sources. I believe that I’m on record as saying they’d be more lucrative in an urban setting, but in reality, they also mark something of return to journalism’s roots.

    In say, 1885, if you were to buy the paper in Cripple Creek Colorado, you’d get the local goings-ons, the happenings at the mine, maybe news of a big strike from somewhere far away and perhaps, you’d get a rant by the editor/publisher about something from the State Capital or Washington DC.

    This trend pretty much remained the same until the 70s. The wire services made national and international headlines available to more markets over time, but as I noted above, when I was a kid, if you lived in Raleigh you watched the Raleigh station and read the Raleigh paper, while if you lived in Durham…

    Neighborhood news is great and I’d bet that it does widen the audience somewhat, but it’s also further balkanization of a relatively fixed market. The national outlets will cover national affairs; Local television will cover a city or region and maybe a local blog will be the go-to source for what’s happening on 6th street, but when all is said and done, they’re really just cutting another piece from the pie.

  • Rick R.

    Local TV news always does an excellent job when there is a real weather emergency like in the Northwest the past couple weeks. The big problem is weather has become cheap and easy content that just fills space 95% of the time. (In a typical newscast there are THREE weather segments totaling around 6 minutes.)It’s usually nothing but hype – trying to find a reason to scare people somewhere in the next seven forecast days. Weather hype, coupled with nonstop crime and car crashes pretty much defines local news. When you then mix this with 12 minutes of commercials and self-serving promotion you get garbage, not worth anyone’s time.

  • coffee

    Will we see the trend of pooling resources make its way into local news and weather. Why have three to six local meteorologists? Have Andy Wappler deliver the weather and then give us five minutes of Erin Mayovsky bowling, or vice versa. Okay I’m being snarky.

    I worry about the financial viability of local television news given what we’ve seen occur with newspapers and radio. We’ve seen local stations close up their news operations in Seattle in the past. I’m not familiar with the profitability of local news operations to know if ‘Clear Channel localism’ poses a threat.

  • DW

    We in the Northeast prefer the Dunkin’ Donuts style of coffee … and news. Heavy on the police.

  • Cory Bergman

    The more I think about this, the problem with local TV is not just content, but distribution. In fact, you could argue it’s THE problem:

    - Over-the-air is declining in popularity and the switch to digital is pretty much putting a nail in that coffin. (Do you want to figure out how to get that receiver and antenna or just sign up for cable/IPTV/satellite? Or just go online?)

    - Networks will switch away from affiliates in the next 5-10 years, taking their distribution direct. Hulu is a classic example of a network distribution play here — building enough scale early enough to make a difference. And Hulu will be ported to TV sets very soon (Boxee is a great example here.)

    - Cable TV and IPTV have ad targeting technologies that will put traditional local TV advertising at a steep disadvantage. They’re also the DVR gatekeepers: they’re the home page of video-on-demand distribution via these pathways.

    - TV websites aren’t achieving enough distribution scale to make revenue impact. Too much online local news competition. Video traffic is too low to make a dent.

    - Local TV stations like to think they hold the advantage in retrans negotiations, but once the networks have multiple direct distribution pathways, a local TV station is just yet another source of local TV news, which people are getting increasingly online anyway. They lose negotiation leverage.

    Looking at it another way, people will want to consume local video content in an on-demand fashion. That will become the norm in 5-10 years. But local TV does not own ANY nonlinear distribution pathways other than their current websites, which are mediocre from an audience perspective, at best. This dramatically reduces revenue potential and puts local TV at tremendous risk.

  • Ravenous

    The other issue that has been omitted so far is that, in the case of Starbucks, consumers were willing to pay more for a better product.

    What Starbucks did well was to provide an experience that people were willing to pay a premium to consume. Yes, the coffee was better, but it was the profit margin on that experience that fueled the company’s growth.

    In local TV, this has never been the case. Because it’s “free” to consumers, TV stations can’t charge consumers a premium for an experience…. they have to show advertisers that they have people watching. That is the bottom line, for good or bad.

    Advertisers won’t spend more to advertise just because the content is better….. to them, it’s all about the eyeballs. Until this fact changes, I think the analogy is tangential.

  • invitedmedia

    can anyone opine of the accuracy of quantcast vs. alexa or compete?

    thanks

  • Z

    “It stands to reason it will be delivered in a non-linear form with vibrant community participation.”

    I think this will be the case in some places, but not all. The vast majority of the public still has shown no interest in news participation online.

  • Anonymous

    The obvious answer is NOT building the morning news into 3-4 small blocks of mostly repeated stories.

    Those that get up at 5 are looking for a local version of Early Today with the personal touch of Kathy Lee and Hoda.

    A REAL LOCAL CHAT SHOW. In all the cities I’ve seen such a show on, it’s in the AFTERNOON.

    Noon news is not the start of the personal news/chat day! This sort of thing was a lot more common in the black and white days, the early days when local TV was the entertainer that carried the network programs AFTER the local shows.

    It’s more than bringing in a local guest on a certain day each week, more than the 4 minutes with the local weatherman or night reporter for the Boy Scouts or a play, bring a personality that you want to listen to and read the news in small segments instead of over and over.

    Just quit assuming you are feeding a new bunch every 15 minutes. They have websites.

  • http://www.aboutcoffees.com/ K Cups

    Interesting analogy, but I doubt there is much that the old media conerns can do about being relegated to the antiquities closet.

  • http://www.aboutcoffees.com/ K Cups

    Interesting analogy, but I doubt there is much that the old media conerns can do about being relegated to the antiquities closet.

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